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SAFEGUARD SCIENTIFICS INC (SFE)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2023 delivered a net loss of $2.862M and diluted EPS of $(0.18), a sharp YoY swing from net income of $0.483M and $0.03 EPS in Q2 2022 as equity losses and lower other income weighed on results .
  • Liquidity declined as cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities fell to $15.112M at June 30, 2023, down from $18.793M in Q1 and $19.312M at year-end 2022 .
  • Strategy pivot: Safeguard ended discussions with its prior strategic counterparty; plans to return excess cash (~approximately half of cash balance) to shareholders in Q4 2023, target corporate expenses below $3.0M for 2023, and explore a Nasdaq delisting to materially reduce ongoing costs .
  • Portfolio update: $3.0M deployed to Prognos; Aktana recapitalization (SFE declined to participate) eliminated a material ownership position; TTM revenues of six companies were $95M, up 12.8% YoY, but total carrying value of ownership interests fell to $13.0M (vs. $15.4M at 12/31/22) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Corporate expense discipline: Corporate expenses fell 12.2% YoY to $0.730M in Q2; management expects 2023 corporate expenses to be below $3.0M, at the low end of prior guidance .
  • Portfolio commercial progress: Aggregate TTM revenues for six companies rose to $95M (+12.8% YoY), signaling underlying demand despite macro headwinds .
  • Strategic clarity and capital discipline: Management committed to returning excess cash to shareholders in Q4 2023, materially reducing operating costs (including exploring delisting), and allowing portfolio exits over two years. “We are working diligently on a plan to return excess cash to our shareholders in Q4 2023...” — CEO Eric C. Salzman .

What Went Wrong

  • Earnings deterioration: Net loss of $2.862M and $(0.18) EPS vs. prior-year net income of $0.483M and $0.03 EPS; equity losses of $(1.759)M and weaker other income pressured results .
  • Strategic process setback: Safeguard is no longer in discussions with the prior counterparty due to valuation, tax, and structural issues—shifting focus from a strategic deal to cash return and cost cuts .
  • Portfolio headwinds and liquidity: Cash declined to $15.112M in Q2, and Aktana’s recapitalization (SFE declined to participate) removed a material ownership position; subsequent Trice recap left only a small subordinated debt and de minimis equity interest .

Financial Results

Income Statement Metrics (USD Millions unless noted)

MetricQ2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Operating expenses$1.146 $1.185 $1.186
Operating loss$(1.146) $(1.185) $(1.186)
Other income (loss), net$0.030 $(0.009) $(0.166)
Interest, net$0.145 $0.274 $0.249
Equity income (loss), net$1.454 $(2.564) $(1.759)
Net income (loss)$0.483 $(3.484) $(2.862)
Diluted EPS$0.03 $(0.22) $(0.18)

Notes: SFE is an investment company; gross and operating margins are not applicable due to lack of operating revenue line items .

Balance Sheet Metrics (USD Millions)

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash & marketable securities$19.312 $18.793 $15.112
Total equity$34.576 $31.392 $28.763
Total assets$37.692 $33.727 $31.082
Total current liabilities$1.817 $1.152 $1.256

Ownership Interests Carrying Values (USD Millions)

CompanyDec 31, 2022Mar 31, 2023Jun 30, 2023
Moxe (Healthcare)$7.2 $6.5 $5.8
Clutch Holdings (Digital Media)$3.0 $2.0 $1.5
Prognos Health (Healthcare)$1.5 $1.5 $4.5
Syapse (Healthcare)$1.5 $0.6 $—
All others$1.3 $1.4 $1.2
Total carrying value$15.4 $12.0 $13.0

KPIs

KPIQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Corporate expenses ($M)$0.722 $0.791 $0.730
General & administrative ($M)$1.035 $1.185 $1.186
Portfolio TTM revenues$141M (TTM to 9/30/22) $145M (TTM to 12/31/22) $95M (TTM to 3/31/23, six companies)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Follow-on deployments (2023)Q2 2023Reduced to $3.0–$4.5M (Q1) from $4–$6M (Q4) YTD $3.3M; do not expect additional deployments Lowered then effectively halted
Corporate expenses (2023)Q2 2023$3.0–$3.2M target (Q4/Q1) Expect below $3.0M (excludes certain items) Lowered
Strategic transactionQ2 2023Advanced discussions with single counterparty (Q1) No longer in discussions; pivot to returning excess cash Ended; pivot to cash return
Capital returnQ2 2023N/APlan to return excess cash (~approximately half of cash balance) in Q4 2023 New program
Listing statusQ2 2023N/AExploring delisting from Nasdaq to materially reduce operating costs; subject to shareholder approval New initiative
Portfolio exit valuesQ2 2023N/AEstimated $25–$45M over next two years, assuming normal conditions New disclosure

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: The Q2 2023 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to a database inconsistency; themes below reflect disclosures across company press releases for Q4 2022, Q1 2023, and Q2 2023 .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2022 & Q1 2023)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
Strategic alternativesEvaluating transactions with Houlihan Lokey; advanced discussions with a single counterparty (Q1) No longer in discussions with prior counterparty; shift to returning excess cash Deteriorated; pivot to shareholder returns
Capital raising environmentDeteriorating environment impacting portfolio companies; liquidity challenges (Q4/Q1) Continued prudence; no further deployments expected in 2023 Tightening; risk-off stance
Corporate cost reductionCorporate expenses targeted $3.0–$3.2M (Q4/Q1) Expect below $3.0M; exploring delisting to reduce costs Accelerating cost takeout
Portfolio exits/recapsConsidered opportunistic financings or dilution; Bright Health stake sold (Q1) Aktana recap (declined participation); subsequent Trice recap leaves de minimis interest; exit values estimated $25–$45M over two years Progressing toward monetizations
Portfolio revenue momentumTTM revenue $141M → $145M (Q4 → Q1) TTM revenue $95M for six companies, +12.8% YoY Mixed (growth within smaller base)

Management Commentary

  • “While we are disappointed that our strategic process did not result in a transaction, we are working diligently on a plan to return excess cash to our shareholders in Q4 2023, materially reduce our ongoing operating costs, and allow the remaining portfolio companies to exit over the next two years.” — Eric C. Salzman, CEO .
  • “We are acting prudently with our capital in situations where we can create high conviction opportunities to drive value for Safeguard... We continue to progress on a strategic alternative... We are in discussions on a transaction that could yield greater value to our shareholders than an orderly run-off of the portfolio.” — Eric C. Salzman (Q1 2023) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q2 2023 earnings call transcript was not accessible due to a database inconsistency; therefore specific Q&A themes and any guidance clarifications from the call are unavailable. Disclosures in the press release indicate a pivot to returning excess cash, further cost reductions, and an expectation of no additional deployments in 2023 .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 2023 EPS and revenue was unavailable in our dataset due to a missing CIQ mapping for SFE; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus. Management did not provide quarterly EPS or revenue guidance in the press release format typically comparable to sell-side estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Capital return is the near-term catalyst: a Q4 2023 return of excess cash (estimated at ~approximately half of cash balance) could support the stock despite operating losses .
  • Cost-down measures intensify: corporate expenses trending below $3.0M for 2023 and potential Nasdaq delisting signal an aggressive move to preserve cash and enhance distributable value .
  • Portfolio monetization path: management’s estimated exit values of $25–$45M over two years frame medium-term value realization, but execution risk remains amid a tough capital environment .
  • Deployment freeze: with YTD follow-ons at $3.3M and no further deployments expected, portfolio outcomes will be driven by existing assets, not incremental investment .
  • Earnings variability: equity-method losses and financing environments will drive quarterly earnings swings; absence of sell-side consensus complicates trading around prints .
  • Liquidity watch: cash down to $15.112M and total equity to $28.763M underscore the importance of cost control and timely exits to fund capital returns .
  • Position sizing: consider event-driven exposure into Q4 capital-return announcement against execution and liquidity risks in portfolio exits over the next two years .

Appendix: Additional Context and Comparative Data

YoY and Sequential Change Highlights (from press release)

  • Net loss of $2.9M vs. net income of $0.5M in Q2 2022; diluted EPS $(0.18) vs. $0.03 YoY .
  • G&A rose 3.5% YoY to $1.186M; corporate expenses decreased 12.2% YoY to $0.730M .
  • Cash declined sequentially to $15.112M (from $18.793M in Q1 2023) .
  • Portfolio TTM revenues: $141M (Q4 2022) → $145M (Q1 2023) → $95M for six companies (Q2 2023), +12.8% YoY .

Exits & Deployments Detail

  • $3.0M deployed to Prognos; YTD follow-ons $3.3M; no further deployments expected .
  • $0.4M proceeds from secondary sale of Aktana note; recapitalization left SFE with no material ownership position; subsequent Trice recap left a small subordinated debt and de minimis equity interest .

Documents Read

  • Q2 2023 8-K press release (Exhibit 99.1), including financials and outlook .
  • Q1 2023 8-K press release and financials .
  • Q4 2022 8-K press release and financials .
  • Q2 2023 earnings call transcript was listed but could not be retrieved due to a database inconsistency (no content available) [3:—].